Post by The Soufan Center (TSC)

IntelBrief: Minefields Obstruct the Road to U.S.-Iran Peace Bottom Line Up Front 🔹The U.S.-Iran peace process is stalled as both sides battle for strategic leverage, setting the stage for a “no war, no peace” mutually hurting stalemate. 🔹Iran is insisting on U.S. acquiescence to its control over the Strait of Hormuz and substantial sanctions relief before offering nuclear concessions, frustrating the U.S. from achieving the central goals of the war effort. 🔹The Trump team is attempting to empower Iran’s moderate leaders by offering full sanctions relief and global investment in exchange for abandoning the core tenets of the regime’s revolutionary ideology. 🔹The regime is using the week-long funeral ceremonies for the slain Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei to showcase its resilience, but his son and successor, Mojtaba Khamenei, remains unseen, clouding Western assessments of Iranian decision-making. Read more👇 https://lnkd.in/e3HnCB3F Colin P. Clarke, Ph.D., Clara Broekaert, Nikkie Lyubarsky, Gabriella Tejeda, Caroline D. Rose, Kenneth Katzman