Post by Paulo Vargas Moniz
Scientific Coordinator CMA-UBI
cf. https://lnkd.in/dUUyTtE ; Viz. EVOLUÇÃO DAS MÉDIAS SEMANAIS Número médio de novos casos ... por dia nos sete dias anteriores. Cf. e.g. Austria or Danemark (about to lift lockdown restrictions): (i) the downhill progression curve and (ii) some (well...) 'symmetry' as the progression would eventually lead to. See also Germany or Switzerland, e.g. (do not know their R_t Bayesian evolution...). Italy looks well, hoping to improve, but Spain..., seems taking, needing an effort to 'come down' (this plot, specifically). Interesting to guess the 'derivatives' (and their variation...) at the rhs regions of the several lines. Nb. You need all of them (\dot{q}, \ddot{q}) to, sort of..., predict (Cauchy' wise) q(t).