Post by Neil Walker

Author, Thriving in Turbulence | Diagnose organizational turbulence before choosing interventions | 30 years recovering failed multimillion-£ transformations

The irony. Harvard Business Review article arguing against thought leadership is thought leadership. That is sharp but provocative. John Winsor has written the most honest critique of thought leadership I've read in years. He's also prescribed the wrong cure. It's something worth reading. And something worth arguing with. He's right about the flood. AI has collapsed the barrier to sounding authoritative. LinkedIn is saturated with people who have read about transformation and are now advising on it. His scar tissue test — can you tell me what went wrong, with specifics? — is one of the sharpest filters I've seen articulated. But the solution misses a step. Winsor's frame is thinking versus doing. His "thought doer" builds a 10-day pilot, embeds with the team, and stays through the mess. That's valuable. But a thought doer running the wrong experiment is just expensive failure with better optics. The failure point moves downstream — from the keynote room to the sprint debrief. The real distinction isn't thinking versus doing. It's grounded versus ungrounded. Grounded expertise tells you which pilot to run, which assumption is most likely wrong, and which condition you're actually in before the experiment starts. The organisations Winsor describes — the ones who bought frameworks that gathered dust — didn't suffer from too much thinking. They suffered from the wrong diagnosis. They applied the right intervention to the wrong condition. More doing wouldn't have helped. Better diagnosis before the doing starts would have. Replacing hollow thinking with unreflective action doesn't solve the problem. It just makes the autopsy more expensive. The question worth asking: How do you tell the difference between someone who's genuinely grounded and someone performing groundedness? Winsor's scar tissue test is a start. What would you add? #Leadership #OrganizationalLearning

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