Post by Massimo Crescimbene

🎉 New Open Access Paper Published! 🌍 / Nuova pubblicazione in Open Access! Proud to share our latest paper now published in the International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (Elsevier): "Managing Scientific Uncertainty in Operational Earthquake Forecasting: A Delphi-Mix Approach to Expert Consensus and Risk Governance in Italy" 🇬🇧 English version: Through an innovative Delphi-Mix approach involving INGV experts, we mapped consensus on OEF models and cognitive biases to draft an institutional "Action Agenda", bridging the gap between seismic science and risk governance in Italy. 🇮🇹 Versione italiana: Felice di condividere il nostro nuovo articolo scientifico pubblicato su International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction: Attraverso un approccio "Delphi-Mix" che ha coinvolto un panel di esperti dell'INGV, abbiamo strutturato il consenso sui modelli di Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF) e analizzato i bias cognitivi nella comunicazione del rischio. L'obiettivo è proporre una "Action Agenda" istituzionale capace di colmare il complesso divario tra ricerca sismologica e processi decisionali di protezione civile in Italia. A huge thank you to all co-authors and institutions for this great teamwork: 👉 Antonio Tintori Loredana Cerbara Giulia Ciancimino Giuseppe Falcone André Herrero Maura Murru Matteo Taroni Special thanks to the 14 senior seismologists from INGV who joined the panel and to the Seismic Hazard Center (CPS-INGV) for the institutional support. 🔓 Fully Open Access (free to read and download) here: https://lnkd.in/dDeWWFEF #EarthquakeForecasting #RiskGovernance #SeismicHazard #DelphiMethod #OpenAccess #OpenScience #INGV #CNR #DisasterRiskReduction #RiskCommunication