Post by Lloyd Axworthy, PC, CC, OM, Ph.D.

The geopolitical landscape has shifted fundamentally over the last two weeks. The ongoing conflict following the US-Israeli strikes on Iran has not only disrupted energy markets—labeling it the largest supply disruption in recorded history by the IEA—but has also highlighted the fragility of our current international security framework. For Canadian leadership, this presents a two-pronged strategic imperative: 1. Economic Diversification: As global oil demand tracks toward its peak by 2030, our reliance on resource volatility is a liability. The transition to a net-zero grid by 2035 isn't just an environmental goal; it is a critical pillar of national security. 2. Diplomatic Re-engagement: It is time to revitalize the 'Responsibility to Protect' (R2P) doctrine. Originally a Canadian-led effort, this framework is more relevant than ever as a tool to navigate crises where traditional power projection is failing. We have the geography, the technology, and the history of middle-power diplomacy to lead here. The question is: do we have the political will? Read my full analysis on the intersection of energy security and foreign policy here: [Link to Substack] #Geopolitics #EnergySecurity #ForeignPolicy #Leadership #Canada