Post by Jonas Kaczenski

Recently, our team at Digital Asset Evaluation completed the study "𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗻𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗦𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼 𝗖𝗮𝗹𝗰𝘂𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗼𝗳 𝗢𝗳𝗳𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗪𝗶𝗻𝗱 𝗘𝘅𝗽𝗮𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻 – 𝗥𝗲𝗱𝘂𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗼𝗳 𝗣𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 𝗗𝗲𝗻𝘀𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗚𝗲𝗿𝗺𝗮𝗻 𝗘𝗘𝗭 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗖𝗿𝗼𝘀𝘀-𝗕𝗼𝗿𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗥𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝗻𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗼𝗳 𝗢𝗳𝗳𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗪𝗶𝗻𝗱 𝗙𝗮𝗿𝗺𝘀 𝗶𝗻 𝗗𝗲𝗻𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗦𝘄𝗲𝗱𝗲𝗻", commissioned by BDEW Bundesverband der Energie- und Wasserwirtschaft e.V. and BWO - Bundesverband Windenergie Offshore e.V. – and it's now publicly available.   Our extended scenario analysis for 70 GW offshore wind by 2045 shows: 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗻𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝘀𝗽𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗽𝗹𝗮𝗻𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗺𝗮𝗸𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗱𝗶𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲. Shifting capacities into Danish and Swedish maritime areas significantly increases total energy yield – most notably in the 20 GW cross-border shift scenario, where higher yields more than offset the additional costs for operation and grid connection.   Another key finding: 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗽𝗹𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮𝗹𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗻𝗼 𝘀𝘂𝗯𝘀𝘁𝗶𝘁𝘂𝘁𝗲. While it improves grid utilization compared to the reference scenario, it does not match the performance of a pure 20 GW cross-border capacity shift. Combining both leads to increased wake and curtailment losses that erode the energy yield gains.   The takeaway: 𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗰𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝟳𝟬 𝗚𝗪 𝗲𝗳𝗳𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝗿𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗶𝗿𝗲𝘀 𝗽𝗹𝗮𝗻𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗯𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝗻𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗯𝗼𝗿𝗱𝗲𝗿𝘀 - 𝘀𝗽𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆, 𝗿𝗲𝗴𝘂𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿𝗶𝗹𝘆, 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗶𝗻 𝗴𝗿𝗶𝗱 𝗱𝗲𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗻. Thanks to BDEW and BWO for commissioning this work and to the team for the insightful analysis. Read more 👇 Download the study from the BDEW website: https://lnkd.in/dN-XRX4a